We simulated Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers 100,000 times. Northampton Town won 45,307 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Tranmere Rovers won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Northampton Town win is 1-0 (11.7%). Both teams score in 48.5% of simulations.
| Northampton Town win | 45.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% |
| Tranmere Rovers win | 26.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 48.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Northampton Town score first | 51.1% |
| Tranmere Rovers score first | 38.6% |
| Northampton Town clean sheet | 36.7% |
| Tranmere Rovers clean sheet | 24.7% |
Walsall
Oldham Athletic
1.5–1.2
xG
51%
Over 2.5
York City
Accrington Stanley
1.9–0.9
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Fleetwood Town
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury Town
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Swindon Town
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Rotherham United
Newport County
1.5–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Exeter City
Crewe Alexandra
1.2–1.1
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646833 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Northampton Town are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 26.3% for Tranmere Rovers. Including the draw, Northampton Town avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.7%) and 0-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 1-0 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.5% of simulations. Northampton Town keep a clean sheet 36.7% of the time and Tranmere Rovers 24.7%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 1.41 for Northampton Town and 1.01 for Tranmere Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.5% and over 3.5 goals 22.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
