We simulated Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg 100,000 times. Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 54,955 of them (55%), the draw came up 22% of the time and SC Freiburg won 23%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations.
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen win | 55% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| SC Freiburg win | 23% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen score first | 60.9% |
| SC Freiburg score first | 35% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet | 29.3% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 13.7% |
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
FC Augsburg
1.9–1.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3.3–1.1
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679074 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are favourites. They win 55% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 23% for SC Freiburg. Including the draw, Bayer 04 Leverkusen avoid defeat 77% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations. Bayer 04 Leverkusen keep a clean sheet 29.3% of the time and SC Freiburg 13.7%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 2.02 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.24 for SC Freiburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
