We simulated Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln 100,000 times. Eintracht Frankfurt won 50,484 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and FC Köln won 27.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8.5%, while the likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 71.5% of simulations.
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| FC Köln win | 27.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.22 – 1.62 |
| Both teams to score | 71.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.1% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt score first | 61.1% |
| FC Köln score first | 35.8% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 20.2% |
| FC Köln clean sheet | 11.4% |
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
FC Augsburg
1.9–1.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3.3–1.1
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2.0–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679054 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 27.7% for FC Köln. Including the draw, Eintracht Frankfurt avoid defeat 72.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 71.5% of simulations. Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet 20.2% of the time and FC Köln 11.4%.
The simulations average 3.83 goals: 2.22 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.62 for FC Köln. Over 1.5 goals lands 90% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.2% and over 3.5 goals 53.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
