We simulated Werder Bremen vs Paderborn 100,000 times. Werder Bremen won 53,623 of them (53.6%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Paderborn won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Werder Bremen win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
| Werder Bremen win | 53.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Paderborn win | 23.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.91 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.4% |
| Werder Bremen score first | 55.8% |
| Paderborn score first | 39.2% |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 30.8% |
| Paderborn clean sheet | 15.2% |
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
FC Augsburg
1.9–1.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3.3–1.1
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2.0–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679090 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Werder Bremen are favourites. They win 53.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 23.3% for Paderborn. Including the draw, Werder Bremen avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet 30.8% of the time and Paderborn 15.2%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.91 for Werder Bremen and 1.19 for Paderborn. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.5% and over 3.5 goals 37.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
