We simulated Elversberg vs FC Augsburg 100,000 times. Elversberg won 43,590 of them (43.6%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and FC Augsburg won 32.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Elversberg win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 70% of simulations.
| Elversberg win | 43.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| FC Augsburg win | 32.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.94 – 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.3% |
| Elversberg score first | 53.6% |
| FC Augsburg score first | 42.2% |
| Elversberg clean sheet | 19.6% |
| FC Augsburg clean sheet | 14.8% |
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3.3–1.1
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2.0–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679083 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Elversberg are favourites. They win 43.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 32.1% for FC Augsburg. Including the draw, Elversberg avoid defeat 67.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Elversberg win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70% of simulations. Elversberg keep a clean sheet 19.6% of the time and FC Augsburg 14.8%.
The simulations average 3.60 goals: 1.94 for Elversberg and 1.65 for FC Augsburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.3% and over 3.5 goals 48.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
