We simulated Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart 100,000 times. VfB Stuttgart won 47,890 of them (47.9%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Hamburger SV won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest VfB Stuttgart win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 67.6% of simulations.
| Hamburger SV win | 27.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 47.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.99 |
| Both teams to score | 67.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.6% |
| Hamburger SV score first | 41.3% |
| VfB Stuttgart score first | 53.9% |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 14.1% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 23.2% |
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
FC Augsburg
1.9–1.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3.3–1.1
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2.0–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679134 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VfB Stuttgart are favourites. They win 47.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 27.3% for Hamburger SV. Including the draw, VfB Stuttgart avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest VfB Stuttgart win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.6% of simulations. Hamburger SV keep a clean sheet 14.1% of the time and VfB Stuttgart 23.2%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 1.48 for Hamburger SV and 1.99 for VfB Stuttgart. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67% and over 3.5 goals 45.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
