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Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV host VfB Stuttgart in the Germany Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 14:30. Our model makes VfB Stuttgart favourites at 42%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, Hamburger SV won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 3 and 0 were drawn.

Germany Bundesliga Save
Hamburger SV
14:30
17 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Win probabilities

34%Hamburger SV 24%Draw 42%VfB Stuttgart
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Hamburger SV W W W L L
VfB Stuttgart W W W L L
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
40% Win rate 40%
1.00 Goals scored 1.60
3.00 Goals conceded 1.80
40% Both teams score 60%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
0% Clean sheets 20%
40% Scored first 40%
0.96 xG for 1.96
1.95 xG against 2.01
9.00 Match corners 12.40

From 5 and 5 matches.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart head to head

1 Hamburger SV wins 0 draws 3 VfB Stuttgart wins
3.5 goals per game 50% both teams scored 100% over 2.5 goals
  1. 27 Feb 2027Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 00:00 Hamburger SV
  2. 17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 14:30 VfB Stuttgart
  3. 12 Apr 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV
  4. 30 Nov 2025Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart
  5. 5 Jun 2023Bundesliga Play-offs Hamburger SV 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
  6. 1 Jun 2023Bundesliga Play-offs VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Hamburger SV