FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig

FC Bayern München host RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 17:30. Our model makes FC Bayern München favourites at 77%, with a 14% chance of a draw. In their last 16 meetings, FC Bayern München won 10, RB Leipzig won 2 and 4 were drawn.

Germany Bundesliga Sat 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 Save

FC Bayern München

17:30

17 Oct

RB Leipzig

Allianz Arena, Munich

Win probabilities

77%FC Bayern München 14%Draw 8%RB Leipzig

Half-time result Pro

FC Bayern München
Draw
RB Leipzig

Double chance

FC Bayern München or draw 92%
RB Leipzig or draw 23%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig 86%

Half-time / full-time Pro

FC Bayern München/FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München/Draw
FC Bayern München/RB Leipzig
Draw/FC Bayern München
Draw/Draw
Draw/RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig/FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig/Draw
RB Leipzig/RB Leipzig

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

FC Bayern München D W W W D

RB Leipzig W L W L L

FC Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

60% Win rate 60%

3.20 Goals scored 3.00

0.80 Goals conceded 1.00

60% Both teams score 20%

80% Over 2.5 goals 80%

40% Clean sheets 60%

60% Scored first 60%

3.02 xG for 2.44

0.81 xG against 1.21

12.00 Match corners 12.00

From 5 and 5 matches.

FC Bayern München at home and RB Leipzig away this season.

100% Win rate 0%

6.00 Goals scored 0.50

0.50 Goals conceded 2.50

50% Both teams score 50%

100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

50% Clean sheets 0%

100% Scored first 0%

2.72 xG for 1.26

0.69 xG against 1.32

11.50 Match corners 12.00

From 2 and 2 matches.