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Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari host AC Milan in the Italy Serie A on Monday 30 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes AC Milan favourites at 53%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 11 meetings, AC Milan won 7, Cagliari won 1 and 3 were drawn.

Italy Serie A Save
Cagliari
19:45
30 Nov
AC Milan
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari

Cagliari vs AC Milan preview

Cagliari have scored 0.60 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Serie A this season, while AC Milan have scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Cagliari's last 5 home games and 5 of AC Milan's last 6 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in none of Cagliari's last 5 home games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in none of AC Milan's last 6 away games. Cagliari's last 5 home games have averaged 11.8 corners and AC Milan's last 6 away games 6.8. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:50 UK.

  • Goals scored Cagliari: 0.60 AC Milan: 1.67
  • Goals conceded Cagliari: 0.80 AC Milan: 1.00
  • Both teams scored Cagliari: 1 of 520% AC Milan: 5 of 683%
  • Over 2.5 goals Cagliari: 0 of 50% AC Milan: 3 of 650%
  • Match corners Cagliari: 11.80 AC Milan: 6.83
  • Match cards Cagliari: 4.00 AC Milan: 4.17

Cagliari's last 5 home games and AC Milan's last 6 away games in the Serie A this season.

Win probabilities

21%Cagliari 27%Draw 53%AC Milan

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Cagliari vs AC Milan: questions and answers

When is Cagliari vs AC Milan?

Cagliari vs AC Milan kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 30 November 2026 in the Serie A, at Sardegna Arena, Cagliari.

Who is the favourite in Cagliari vs AC Milan?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Cagliari a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and AC Milan 53%.

How many goals do Cagliari and AC Milan games have?

Cagliari have scored 0.60 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Serie A this season, while AC Milan have scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Cagliari's last 5 home games and 5 of AC Milan's last 6 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in none of Cagliari's last 5 home games.

Where are Cagliari and AC Milan in the Serie A table?

Cagliari are 9th with 16 points from 11 games. AC Milan are 4th with 24 points from 11 games.

Cagliari vs AC Milan stats

Cagliari2W 1D 2L · 5 home games
AC Milan3W 3D 0L · 6 away games
Cagliari vs AC Milan general stats: Cagliari's last 5 home games and AC Milan's last 6 away games in the Serie A this season
CagliariStatAC Milan
Match outcomes
2 of 540% Win 3 of 650%
1 of 520% Draw 3 of 650%
2 of 540% Loss 0 of 60%
7 Points 12
1.40 Points per game 2.00
-1 Goal difference 4
Expected goals
0.86 xG per game 1.43
2.04 xGA per game 1.18
-1.29 xG performance 1.44
Possession & attacks
40% Possession 60%
30.80 Dangerous attacks 41.17
67.20 Dangerous attacks against 38.00
Shots
10.40 Shots for 12.33
20.40 Shots against 11.50
3.20 On target for 4.50
6.80 On target against 4.33
6% Shot conversion 14%
31% On-target accuracy 36%
Tackles & fouls
14.80 Tackles 14.67
10.20 Fouls committed 12.17
12.40 Fouls won 11.83
3.20 Offsides 0.67

Cagliari's last 5 home games and AC Milan's last 6 away games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:50 UK.

Cagliari vs AC Milan lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Cagliari vs AC Milan players

Player rankings

  1. 1 AC Milan Alphadjo Cissè 1.68
  2. 2 AC Milan Christian Pulisic 1.20
  3. 3 Cagliari Mattia Felici 1.19
  4. 4 Cagliari M'Bala Nzola 1.06
  5. 5 Cagliari Paul Mendy 0.87

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Daniel Maldini in 11 games 5goals
Adrien Rabiot in 9 games 5goals
Top creator
Paul Mendy in 11 games 2assists
Adrien Rabiot in 9 games 4assists

Players in form

  1. Adrien Rabiot Central midfielder · AC Milan 7.35 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    4
    • G+A0.76 per 90 Top 3%
    • Big chances0.43 per 90 Top 5%
    • Shots1.54 per 90 Top 22%
  2. Elia Caprile Goalkeeper · Cagliari 7.19 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves4.10 per 90 Top 4%
    • Clearances1.40 per 90 Top 16%
    • Recoveries9.31 per 90 Top 17%
  3. Diego Moreira Wing-back · AC Milan 7.14 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    3
    • Dribbles2.84 per 90 Top 1%
    • Assists0.45 per 90 Top 3%
    • Crosses1.65 per 90 Top 9%
  4. Christian Pulisic Attacking midfielder · AC Milan 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.50 per 90 Top 6%
    • Pass %89% per 90 Top 6%
    • Dribbles2.10 per 90 Top 9%
  5. Samuel Chukwueze Wing-back · AC Milan 7.04 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Assists0.33 per 90 Top 6%
    • Key passes2.19 per 90 Top 9%
    • Big chances0.54 per 90 Top 10%
  6. Luka Modrić Central midfielder · AC Milan 7.02 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Passes87.32 per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third10.04 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 6%
  7. Alphadjo Cissè Attacking midfielder · AC Milan 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    0
    • NP goals0.93 per 90 Top 1%
    • xG0.45 per 90 Top 9%
  8. Raphael Kofler Centre-back · Cagliari 6.96 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances7.06 per 90 Top 9%
    • Aerial %67% per 90 Top 18%
    • Aerials2.81 per 90 Top 21%
  9. Alen Sherri Goalkeeper · Cagliari 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances1.58 per 90 Top 7%
    • Passes34.63 per 90 Top 18%
    • Touches42.85 per 90 Top 18%
  10. Yanis Massolin Central midfielder · Cagliari 6.90 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Dribbles2.79 per 90 Top 1%
    • Key passes1.78 per 90 Top 12%
    • Big chances0.21 per 90 Top 26%
  11. Alessandro Romano Central midfielder · Cagliari 6.88 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions1.21 per 90 Top 26%
  12. Yerry Mina Centre-back · Cagliari 6.86 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Ball security4.66 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 9%
    • Duel %63% per 90 Top 16%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Cagliari vs AC Milan form

Cagliari All venues
1 W · 0 D · 4 L
Points per game
0.60
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
2.4
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Serie A H Frosinone 1–0 win xG 1.4–2.4
  2. Serie A A Lazio 1–2 defeat xG 1.2–1.3
  3. Serie A A Roma 2–4 defeat xG 2.2–3.0
  4. Serie A H Bologna 0–2 defeat xG 0.6–1.4
  5. Serie A A Monza 0–4 defeat xG 2.1–1.3
AC Milan All venues
3 W · 0 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.80
Scored per game
1.8
Conceded per game
1.6
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Serie A A Genoa 2–1 win xG 0.7–1.1
  2. Europa League H Ferencvárosi 0–2 defeat xG 1.5–1.9
  3. Serie A H Inter 3–1 win xG 0.5–1.6
  4. Serie A H Bologna 2–4 defeat xG 1.1–1.4
  5. Serie A A Udinese 2–0 win xG 2.8–0.6

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

AC Milan vs Cagliari head to head

7 AC Milan wins 3 draws 1 Cagliari wins
3.2 goals per game 64% both teams scored 55% over 2.5 goals
  1. 7 Mar 2027Serie A AC Milan 00:00 Cagliari
  2. 30 Nov 2026Serie A Cagliari 19:45 AC Milan
  3. 24 May 2026Serie A AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari
  4. 2 Jan 2026Serie A Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
  5. 11 Jan 2025Serie A Milan 1–1 Cagliari
  6. 9 Nov 2024Serie A Cagliari 3–3 Milan
  7. 11 May 2024Serie A Milan 5–1 Cagliari
  8. 2 Jan 2024Coppa Italia Milan 4–1 Cagliari
  9. 27 Sep 2023Serie A Cagliari 1–3 Milan
  10. 19 Mar 2022Serie A Cagliari 0–1 Milan
  11. 29 Aug 2021Serie A Milan 4–1 Cagliari
  12. 16 May 2021Serie A Milan 0–0 Cagliari
  13. 18 Jan 2021Serie A Cagliari 0–2 Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan standings

Serie A table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Lazio 11920259 +16 29
2 Inter 119112813 +15 28
3 Roma 118303110 +21 27
4 AC Milan 117312313 +10 24
5 Como 117221810 +8 23
6 Frosinone 116232415 +9 20
7 Juventus 115331512 +3 18
8 Bologna 115241614 +2 17
9 Cagliari 115151015 -5 16
10 Napoli 114341814 +4 15
11 Torino 114251517 -2 14
12 Atalanta 114251720 -3 14
13 Genoa 114161116 -5 13
14 Lecce 113171222 -10 10
15 Fiorentina 112361725 -8 9
16 Parma 11227917 -8 8
17 Sassuolo 112271629 -13 8
18 Monza 112181725 -8 7
19 Venezia 11209821 -13 6
20 Udinese 111281225 -13 5
  • Cagliari
  • AC Milan
  • Relegation
Full Serie A table

Serie A 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:50 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Cagliari vs AC Milan odds

Best price across 3 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Cagliari 4.941xBet Shortened 19%from 6.08 21%
Draw 4.031xBet Shortened 6%from 4.30 27%
AC Milan 1.771xBet Drifted 9%from 1.62 53%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.80Bet365 Drifted 3%from 1.75 49%
BTTS No 1.98Betano Shortened 2%from 2.02 51%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.27Betano Drifted 4%from 1.22 71%
Under 1.5 4.00Bet365 Shortened 11%from 4.50 29%
Over 2.5 1.921xBet Drifted 11%from 1.73 46%
Under 2.5 2.031xBet Shortened 11%from 2.28 54%
Over 3.5 3.20Bet365 Drifted 22%from 2.63 24%
Under 3.5 1.38Betano Shortened 8%from 1.50 76%

Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 13:51. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

21%Cagliari 27%Draw 53%AC Milan
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.