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Bulgaria vs Iceland

Bulgaria host Iceland in the Europe UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes Iceland favourites at 52%, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Europe UEFA Nations League Save
Bulgaria
19:45
13 Nov
Iceland
Stadion Hristo Botev, Bulgaria

Win probabilities

24%Bulgaria 23%Draw 52%Iceland

Half-time result Pro

  • Bulgaria
  • Draw
  • Iceland

Double chance

  • Bulgaria or draw 48%
  • Iceland or draw 76%
  • Bulgaria or Iceland 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Bulgaria/Bulgaria
  • Bulgaria/Draw
  • Bulgaria/Iceland
  • Draw/Bulgaria
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Iceland
  • Iceland/Bulgaria
  • Iceland/Draw
  • Iceland/Iceland
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Bulgaria vs Iceland predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Bulgaria vs Iceland bet builder

Top picks, ranked by how often each leg landed in the last 10 games · 1.40+

  1. 1st half over 0.5 goals Goals 1.45 Bet365 Bulgaria 9/10 Iceland 8/10
  2. 1st half: Bulgaria or Iceland Result 1.67 Bet365 Bulgaria 7/10 Iceland 7/10
  3. Over 8.5 corners Corners 1.73 Bet365 Bulgaria 7/10 Iceland 6/10
Open the full bet builder65 markets with hit rates for every leg, live prices and a suggested builder

Form

Bulgaria W L D L D
Iceland D W W D L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

BulgariaIceland
25% Win rate 50%
0.75 Goals scored 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded 0.25
25% Both teams score 25%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Clean sheets 75%
50% Scored first 75%
1.02 xG for 1.75
1.39 xG against 0.87
10.00 Match corners 8.50

UEFA Nations League matches only, before kick-off: 4 each.

Bulgaria vs Iceland head to head

0 Bulgaria wins 0 draws 1 Iceland wins
3.0 goals per game 0% both teams scored 100% over 2.5 goals
  1. 13 Nov 2026UEFA Nations League Bulgaria 19:45 Iceland
  2. 3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria