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Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05

Schalke 04 host FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 14:30. Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 41%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 0, Schalke 04 won 2 and 2 were drawn.

Germany Bundesliga Save
Schalke 04
14:30
17 Oct
FSV Mainz 05
Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen

Win probabilities

33%Schalke 04 26%Draw 41%FSV Mainz 05

Half-time result Pro

  • Schalke 04
  • Draw
  • FSV Mainz 05

Double chance

  • Schalke 04 or draw 60%
  • FSV Mainz 05 or draw 67%
  • Schalke 04 or FSV Mainz 05 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Schalke 04/Schalke 04
  • Schalke 04/Draw
  • Schalke 04/FSV Mainz 05
  • Draw/Schalke 04
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 05/Schalke 04
  • FSV Mainz 05/Draw
  • FSV Mainz 05/FSV Mainz 05
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Schalke 04 L W W D W
FSV Mainz 05 L W W L W
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
20% Win rate 40%
0.80 Goals scored 2.60
1.20 Goals conceded 2.00
40% Both teams score 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
40% Clean sheets 40%
20% Scored first 20%
1.23 xG for 2.37
2.03 xG against 1.68
10.20 Match corners 9.60

From 5 and 5 matches.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 head to head

0 FSV Mainz 05 wins 2 draws 2 Schalke 04 wins
2.5 goals per game 50% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 27 Feb 2027Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 00:00 Schalke 04
  2. 17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Schalke 04 14:30 FSV Mainz 05
  3. 5 May 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Schalke 04
  4. 9 Nov 2022Bundesliga Schalke 04 1–0 FSV Mainz 05
  5. 5 Mar 2021Bundesliga Schalke 04 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
  6. 7 Nov 2020Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Schalke 04