We simulated FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 77,585 of them (77.6%), the draw came up 12.6% of the time and RB Leipzig won 9.9%. The most likely score is 3-1 (7.9%), and both teams score in 65% of simulations.
| FC Bayern München win | 77.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.6% |
| RB Leipzig win | 9.9% |
| Most likely score | 3-1 (7.9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.26 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 63.6% |
| FC Bayern München score first | 69.7% |
| RB Leipzig score first | 28.9% |
| FC Bayern München clean sheet | 32.2% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 4.2% |
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
FC Augsburg
1.9–1.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2.0–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679109 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 77.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.6% for the draw and 9.9% for RB Leipzig. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 90.1% of the time.
3-1, which came up in 7.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65% of simulations. FC Bayern München keep a clean sheet 32.2% of the time and RB Leipzig 4.2%.
The simulations average 4.40 goals: 3.26 for FC Bayern München and 1.14 for RB Leipzig. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 80.9% and over 3.5 goals 63.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
