We simulated FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 100,000 times. Borussia Dortmund won 54,115 of them (54.1%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and FC Union Berlin won 23.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations.
| FC Union Berlin win | 23.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 54.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.97 |
| Both teams to score | 60.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| FC Union Berlin score first | 34.1% |
| Borussia Dortmund score first | 60.9% |
| FC Union Berlin clean sheet | 14.4% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 29.9% |
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05
1.5–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Elversberg
FC Augsburg
1.9–1.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3.3–1.1
xG
81%
Over 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2.0–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
1.7–1.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679175 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Borussia Dortmund are favourites. They win 54.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 23.1% for FC Union Berlin. Including the draw, Borussia Dortmund avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations. FC Union Berlin keep a clean sheet 14.4% of the time and Borussia Dortmund 29.9%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 1.22 for FC Union Berlin and 1.97 for Borussia Dortmund. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.4% and over 3.5 goals 39.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
