We simulated Birmingham City vs Preston North End 100,000 times. Birmingham City won 60,407 of them (60.4%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and Preston North End won 18.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations.
| Birmingham City win | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% |
| Preston North End win | 18.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.01 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% |
| Birmingham City score first | 59.4% |
| Preston North End score first | 35.3% |
| Birmingham City clean sheet | 37% |
| Preston North End clean sheet | 13.8% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644052 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Birmingham City are favourites. They win 60.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 18.4% for Preston North End. Including the draw, Birmingham City avoid defeat 81.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations. Birmingham City keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Preston North End 13.8%.
The simulations average 3.01 goals: 2.01 for Birmingham City and 1.00 for Preston North End. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.7% and over 3.5 goals 35.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
