We simulated Millwall vs Swansea City 100,000 times. Millwall won 42,342 of them (42.3%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Swansea City won 31.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Millwall win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations.
| Millwall win | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Swansea City win | 31.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.1% |
| Millwall score first | 53.6% |
| Swansea City score first | 39.1% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 27.5% |
| Swansea City clean sheet | 21.6% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644020 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Millwall are favourites. They win 42.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 31.5% for Swansea City. Including the draw, Millwall avoid defeat 68.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Millwall win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations. Millwall keep a clean sheet 27.5% of the time and Swansea City 21.6%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.55 for Millwall and 1.31 for Swansea City. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
