We simulated Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers 100,000 times. Bristol City won 47,382 of them (47.4%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Blackburn Rovers won 25.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Bristol City win is 1-0 (11.3%). Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
| Bristol City win | 47.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Blackburn Rovers win | 25.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.8% |
| Bristol City score first | 55.7% |
| Blackburn Rovers score first | 35.3% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 36.3% |
| Blackburn Rovers clean sheet | 22.7% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644031 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bristol City are favourites. They win 47.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 25.1% for Blackburn Rovers. Including the draw, Bristol City avoid defeat 74.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.3%) and 0-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 1-0 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Bristol City keep a clean sheet 36.3% of the time and Blackburn Rovers 22.7%.
The simulations average 2.52 goals: 1.50 for Bristol City and 1.02 for Blackburn Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46% and over 3.5 goals 24.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
