We simulated Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers 100,000 times. Birmingham City won 45,816 of them (45.8%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Queens Park Rangers won 28.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Birmingham City win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations.
| Birmingham City win | 45.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Queens Park Rangers win | 28.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.6% |
| Birmingham City score first | 55.5% |
| Queens Park Rangers score first | 37.8% |
| Birmingham City clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Queens Park Rangers clean sheet | 19% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644043 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Birmingham City are favourites. They win 45.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 28.1% for Queens Park Rangers. Including the draw, Birmingham City avoid defeat 71.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations. Birmingham City keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Queens Park Rangers 19%.
The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.69 for Birmingham City and 1.28 for Queens Park Rangers. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.7% and over 3.5 goals 34.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
