We simulated Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 100,000 times. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 38,972 of them (39%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Burnley won 33.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 0-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations.
| Burnley win | 33.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 39% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.27 – 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 53.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.6% |
| Burnley score first | 45% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers score first | 47.1% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 25.6% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet | 28.6% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644013 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites. They win 39% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 33.7% for Burnley. Including the draw, Wolverhampton Wanderers avoid defeat 66.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 0-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations. Burnley keep a clean sheet 25.6% of the time and Wolverhampton Wanderers 28.6%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.27 for Burnley and 1.38 for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.2% and over 3.5 goals 27.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
