We simulated Elche vs Valencia 100,000 times. Elche won 39,229 of them (39.2%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Valencia won 33%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Elche win is 1-0 (8.9%). Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.
| Elche win | 39.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Valencia win | 33% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Elche score first | 45.3% |
| Valencia score first | 46.6% |
| Elche clean sheet | 28.6% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 25% |
Villarreal
Espanyol
2.2–1.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Levante
Atlético de Madrid
1.2–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Málaga
2.4–0.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo Alavés
3.3–0.7
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Getafe
Sevilla
1.1–1.2
xG
39%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
1.1–3.0
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654548 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Elche are favourites. They win 39.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 33% for Valencia. Including the draw, Elche avoid defeat 67% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Elche win is 1-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Elche keep a clean sheet 28.6% of the time and Valencia 25%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.40 for Elche and 1.27 for Valencia. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
