We simulated Levante vs Atlético de Madrid 100,000 times. Atlético de Madrid won 56,933 of them (56.9%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Levante won 22.3%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| Levante win | 22.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Atlético de Madrid win | 56.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.9% |
| Levante score first | 32.8% |
| Atlético de Madrid score first | 63.3% |
| Levante clean sheet | 13.6% |
| Atlético de Madrid clean sheet | 30.9% |
Villarreal
Espanyol
2.2–1.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Málaga
2.4–0.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo Alavés
3.3–0.7
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Getafe
Sevilla
1.1–1.2
xG
39%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
1.1–3.0
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Elche
Valencia
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654542 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético de Madrid are favourites. They win 56.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 22.3% for Levante. Including the draw, Atlético de Madrid avoid defeat 77.7% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Levante keep a clean sheet 13.6% of the time and Atlético de Madrid 30.9%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 1.18 for Levante and 2.03 for Atlético de Madrid. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.9% and over 3.5 goals 39.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
