We simulated Villarreal vs Espanyol 100,000 times. Villarreal won 64,554 of them (64.6%), the draw came up 19.6% of the time and Espanyol won 15.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and both teams score in 55.3% of simulations.
| Villarreal win | 64.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.6% |
| Espanyol win | 15.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.20 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 55.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.2% |
| Villarreal score first | 63.5% |
| Espanyol score first | 32.1% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 37.7% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 11.5% |
Levante
Atlético de Madrid
1.2–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Málaga
2.4–0.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo Alavés
3.3–0.7
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Getafe
Sevilla
1.1–1.2
xG
39%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
1.1–3.0
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Elche
Valencia
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654540 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Villarreal are favourites. They win 64.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.6% for the draw and 15.8% for Espanyol. Including the draw, Villarreal avoid defeat 84.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations. Villarreal keep a clean sheet 37.7% of the time and Espanyol 11.5%.
The simulations average 3.18 goals: 2.20 for Villarreal and 0.98 for Espanyol. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.2% and over 3.5 goals 39.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
