We simulated Real Betis vs Málaga 100,000 times. Real Betis won 69,797 of them (69.8%), the draw came up 17.3% of the time and Málaga won 12.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.7%), and both teams score in 52.9% of simulations.
| Real Betis win | 69.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.3% |
| Málaga win | 12.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.36 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.9% |
| Real Betis score first | 71.6% |
| Málaga score first | 24.7% |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 41.2% |
| Málaga clean sheet | 9.8% |
Villarreal
Espanyol
2.2–1.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Levante
Atlético de Madrid
1.2–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo Alavés
3.3–0.7
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Getafe
Sevilla
1.1–1.2
xG
39%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
1.1–3.0
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Elche
Valencia
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654551 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Betis are favourites. They win 69.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.3% for the draw and 12.9% for Málaga. Including the draw, Real Betis avoid defeat 87.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.9% of simulations. Real Betis keep a clean sheet 41.2% of the time and Málaga 9.8%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.36 for Real Betis and 0.89 for Málaga. Over 1.5 goals lands 83% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.8% and over 3.5 goals 40.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
