We simulated Racing Santander vs Real Madrid 100,000 times. Real Madrid won 75,615 of them (75.6%), the draw came up 13.4% of the time and Racing Santander won 11%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.1%), and both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
| Racing Santander win | 11% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.4% |
| Real Madrid win | 75.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.08 – 3.00 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 57.8% |
| Racing Santander score first | 26.6% |
| Real Madrid score first | 71.9% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 5.3% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 34.2% |
Villarreal
Espanyol
2.2–1.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Levante
Atlético de Madrid
1.2–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Málaga
2.4–0.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo Alavés
3.3–0.7
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Getafe
Sevilla
1.1–1.2
xG
39%
Over 2.5
Elche
Valencia
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654541 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Madrid are favourites. They win 75.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.4% for the draw and 11% for Racing Santander. Including the draw, Real Madrid avoid defeat 89% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.1% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Racing Santander keep a clean sheet 5.3% of the time and Real Madrid 34.2%.
The simulations average 4.08 goals: 1.08 for Racing Santander and 3.00 for Real Madrid. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 76.8% and over 3.5 goals 57.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
