We simulated FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés 100,000 times. FC Barcelona won 86,323 of them (86.3%), the draw came up 8.8% of the time and Deportivo Alavés won 4.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.9%), and both teams score in 47.4% of simulations.
| FC Barcelona win | 86.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 8.8% |
| Deportivo Alavés win | 4.8% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.32 – 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 56.4% |
| FC Barcelona score first | 82.4% |
| Deportivo Alavés score first | 15.9% |
| FC Barcelona clean sheet | 50.5% |
| Deportivo Alavés clean sheet | 3.9% |
Villarreal
Espanyol
2.2–1.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Levante
Atlético de Madrid
1.2–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Málaga
2.4–0.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Getafe
Sevilla
1.1–1.2
xG
39%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
1.1–3.0
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Elche
Valencia
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654545 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Barcelona are favourites. They win 86.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.8% for the draw and 4.8% for Deportivo Alavés. Including the draw, FC Barcelona avoid defeat 95.2% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10%) and 4-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.4% of simulations. FC Barcelona keep a clean sheet 50.5% of the time and Deportivo Alavés 3.9%.
The simulations average 4.01 goals: 3.32 for FC Barcelona and 0.69 for Deportivo Alavés. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.7% and over 3.5 goals 56.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
