We simulated Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town 100,000 times. Exeter City won 39,895 of them (39.9%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Fleetwood Town won 31.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (10.1%). Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations.
| Exeter City win | 39.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Fleetwood Town win | 31.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% |
| Exeter City score first | 52.2% |
| Fleetwood Town score first | 38.5% |
| Exeter City clean sheet | 31.6% |
| Fleetwood Town clean sheet | 26.5% |
Northampton Town
Colchester United
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Newport County
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
2.2–1.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Crewe Alexandra
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Oldham Athletic
2.0–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
York City
Port Vale
1.8–1.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
1.2–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Rotherham United
Shrewsbury Town
1.4–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646820 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Exeter City are favourites. They win 39.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 31.5% for Fleetwood Town. Including the draw, Exeter City avoid defeat 68.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.1%) and 0-0 (9.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations. Exeter City keep a clean sheet 31.6% of the time and Fleetwood Town 26.5%.
The simulations average 2.51 goals: 1.34 for Exeter City and 1.16 for Fleetwood Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 72% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.7% and over 3.5 goals 24.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
