We simulated FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 77,065 of them (77.1%), the draw came up 12.3% of the time and FC Augsburg won 10.7%. The most likely score is 1-3 (7.8%), and both teams score in 65.8% of simulations.
| FC Augsburg win | 10.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.3% |
| FC Bayern München win | 77.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-3 (7.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 3.25 |
| Both teams to score | 65.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 64.1% |
| FC Augsburg score first | 25.1% |
| FC Bayern München score first | 73.8% |
| FC Augsburg clean sheet | 4.2% |
| FC Bayern München clean sheet | 31.1% |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Elversberg
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
1.4–2.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
2.5–1.1
xG
69%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4–1.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
Schalke 04
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679131 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 77.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.3% for the draw and 10.7% for FC Augsburg. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 89.3% of the time.
1-3, which came up in 7.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-3 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.8% of simulations. FC Augsburg keep a clean sheet 4.2% of the time and FC Bayern München 31.1%.
The simulations average 4.43 goals: 1.18 for FC Augsburg and 3.25 for FC Bayern München. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 81.2% and over 3.5 goals 64.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
