We simulated FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 100,000 times. FC Köln won 48,726 of them (48.7%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach won 29.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.2%, while the likeliest FC Köln win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 67.2% of simulations.
| FC Köln win | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 29.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.00 – 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 67.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.7% |
| FC Köln score first | 52.4% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach score first | 44.3% |
| FC Köln clean sheet | 22.3% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 13.9% |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Elversberg
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
1.2–3.3
xG
81%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
1.4–2.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
2.5–1.1
xG
69%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4–1.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
Schalke 04
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679118 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Köln are favourites. They win 48.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 29.3% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Including the draw, FC Köln avoid defeat 70.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (6.7%). The likeliest FC Köln win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.2% of simulations. FC Köln keep a clean sheet 22.3% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach 13.9%.
The simulations average 3.52 goals: 2.00 for FC Köln and 1.52 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68% and over 3.5 goals 46.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
