We simulated FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg 100,000 times. FC Union Berlin won 38,239 of them (38.2%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Elversberg won 37.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest FC Union Berlin win is 2-1 (8.2%). Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations.
| FC Union Berlin win | 38.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Elversberg win | 37.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.64 |
| Both teams to score | 65.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.1% |
| FC Union Berlin score first | 45.6% |
| Elversberg score first | 49.6% |
| FC Union Berlin clean sheet | 19.8% |
| Elversberg clean sheet | 19.3% |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
1.2–3.3
xG
81%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
1.4–2.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
2.5–1.1
xG
69%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4–1.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
Schalke 04
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678999 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Union Berlin are favourites. They win 38.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 37.2% for Elversberg. Including the draw, FC Union Berlin avoid defeat 62.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Union Berlin win is 2-1 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations. FC Union Berlin keep a clean sheet 19.8% of the time and Elversberg 19.3%.
The simulations average 3.31 goals: 1.67 for FC Union Berlin and 1.64 for Elversberg. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.9% and over 3.5 goals 42.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
