We simulated SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 100,000 times. SC Freiburg won 58,271 of them (58.3%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Schalke 04 won 18.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest SC Freiburg win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations.
| SC Freiburg win | 58.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Schalke 04 win | 18.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.13 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.2% |
| SC Freiburg score first | 59.6% |
| Schalke 04 score first | 34.9% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 32.4% |
| Schalke 04 clean sheet | 12.4% |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Elversberg
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
1.2–3.3
xG
81%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
1.4–2.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
2.5–1.1
xG
69%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4–1.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678977 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Freiburg are favourites. They win 58.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 18.4% for Schalke 04. Including the draw, SC Freiburg avoid defeat 81.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest SC Freiburg win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet 32.4% of the time and Schalke 04 12.4%.
The simulations average 3.27 goals: 2.13 for SC Freiburg and 1.14 for Schalke 04. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63% and over 3.5 goals 41.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
