We simulated TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV 100,000 times. TSG Hoffenheim won 65,239 of them (65.2%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and Hamburger SV won 15.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 65.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Hamburger SV win | 15.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.45 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.7% |
| TSG Hoffenheim score first | 69.2% |
| Hamburger SV score first | 27.2% |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 32.9% |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 9.1% |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Elversberg
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
1.2–3.3
xG
81%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
1.4–2.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4–1.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
Schalke 04
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679178 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
TSG Hoffenheim are favourites. They win 65.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 15.1% for Hamburger SV. Including the draw, TSG Hoffenheim avoid defeat 84.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. TSG Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet 32.9% of the time and Hamburger SV 9.1%.
The simulations average 3.57 goals: 2.45 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.12 for Hamburger SV. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.8% and over 3.5 goals 47.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
