We simulated Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart 100,000 times. VfB Stuttgart won 52,704 of them (52.7%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Paderborn won 24.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest VfB Stuttgart win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations.
| Paderborn win | 24.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 52.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 2.05 |
| Both teams to score | 64.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.1% |
| Paderborn score first | 38.6% |
| VfB Stuttgart score first | 57.3% |
| Paderborn clean sheet | 13.3% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 26.4% |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Union Berlin
Elversberg
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
1.2–3.3
xG
81%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
2.5–1.1
xG
69%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.4–1.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
Schalke 04
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679177 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VfB Stuttgart are favourites. They win 52.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 24.3% for Paderborn. Including the draw, VfB Stuttgart avoid defeat 75.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest VfB Stuttgart win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations. Paderborn keep a clean sheet 13.3% of the time and VfB Stuttgart 26.4%.
The simulations average 3.40 goals: 1.35 for Paderborn and 2.05 for VfB Stuttgart. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.7% and over 3.5 goals 44.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
