We simulated FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin 100,000 times. FC Augsburg won 55,512 of them (55.5%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and FC Union Berlin won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.5%, while the likeliest FC Augsburg win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations.
| FC Augsburg win | 55.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| FC Union Berlin win | 22.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.13 – 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 64.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.8% |
| FC Augsburg score first | 58.9% |
| FC Union Berlin score first | 37.2% |
| FC Augsburg clean sheet | 27.5% |
| FC Union Berlin clean sheet | 12.3% |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
2.8–1.2
xG
76%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Schalke 04
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.8–2.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
1.3–2.6
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678961 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Augsburg are favourites. They win 55.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 22.6% for FC Union Berlin. Including the draw, FC Augsburg avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest FC Augsburg win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations. FC Augsburg keep a clean sheet 27.5% of the time and FC Union Berlin 12.3%.
The simulations average 3.44 goals: 2.13 for FC Augsburg and 1.31 for FC Union Berlin. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.3% and over 3.5 goals 44.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
