We simulated TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 100,000 times. Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 42,589 of them (42.6%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and TSG Hoffenheim won 34.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.1%, while the likeliest Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is 1-2 (8%). Both teams score in 71.6% of simulations.
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 34.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen win | 42.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.77 – 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | 71.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.4% |
| TSG Hoffenheim score first | 50.8% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen score first | 45.8% |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 14.3% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet | 17.5% |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Union Berlin
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
2.8–1.2
xG
76%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Schalke 04
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
1.3–2.6
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679138 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are favourites. They win 42.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 34.5% for TSG Hoffenheim. Including the draw, Bayer 04 Leverkusen avoid defeat 65.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is 1-2 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 71.6% of simulations. TSG Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet 14.3% of the time and Bayer 04 Leverkusen 17.5%.
The simulations average 3.75 goals: 1.77 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.98 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.8% and over 3.5 goals 51.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
