We simulated VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 100,000 times. VfB Stuttgart won 70,188 of them (70.2%), the draw came up 16.5% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach won 13.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.9%), and both teams score in 61.8% of simulations.
| VfB Stuttgart win | 70.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.5% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 13.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.68 – 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart score first | 67.4% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach score first | 29.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 33.6% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 7.3% |
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Union Berlin
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
2.8–1.2
xG
76%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Schalke 04
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.8–2.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
1.3–2.6
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679132 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VfB Stuttgart are favourites. They win 70.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.5% for the draw and 13.4% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Including the draw, VfB Stuttgart avoid defeat 86.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations. VfB Stuttgart keep a clean sheet 33.6% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach 7.3%.
The simulations average 3.78 goals: 2.68 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.10 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.3% and over 3.5 goals 51.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
