We simulated SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 64,763 of them (64.8%), the draw came up 17.5% of the time and SC Freiburg won 17.8%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.8%), and both teams score in 66.6% of simulations.
| SC Freiburg win | 17.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.5% |
| FC Bayern München win | 64.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 2.58 |
| Both teams to score | 66.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% |
| SC Freiburg score first | 35.4% |
| FC Bayern München score first | 62.6% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 7.9% |
| FC Bayern München clean sheet | 27.7% |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Union Berlin
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
2.8–1.2
xG
76%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Schalke 04
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.8–2.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679110 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 64.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.5% for the draw and 17.8% for SC Freiburg. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 82.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.5%) and 1-1 (7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.6% of simulations. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet 7.9% of the time and FC Bayern München 27.7%.
The simulations average 3.88 goals: 1.30 for SC Freiburg and 2.58 for FC Bayern München. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.9% and over 3.5 goals 54%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
