We simulated RB Leipzig vs Elversberg 100,000 times. RB Leipzig won 69,352 of them (69.4%), the draw came up 17.4% of the time and Elversberg won 13.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.5%), and both teams score in 65.8% of simulations.
| RB Leipzig win | 69.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.4% |
| Elversberg win | 13.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.79 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 65.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 56.2% |
| RB Leipzig score first | 63.9% |
| Elversberg score first | 33.2% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 30.5% |
| Elversberg clean sheet | 6.5% |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Union Berlin
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Schalke 04
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.8–2.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
1.3–2.6
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679106 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
RB Leipzig are favourites. They win 69.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.4% for the draw and 13.3% for Elversberg. Including the draw, RB Leipzig avoid defeat 86.7% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.5% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.8% of simulations. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet 30.5% of the time and Elversberg 6.5%.
The simulations average 3.99 goals: 2.79 for RB Leipzig and 1.20 for Elversberg. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.6% and over 3.5 goals 56.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
