We simulated FC Köln vs Schalke 04 100,000 times. FC Köln won 49,920 of them (49.9%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Schalke 04 won 27.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest FC Köln win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations.
| FC Köln win | 49.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Schalke 04 win | 27.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.9% |
| FC Köln score first | 57.2% |
| Schalke 04 score first | 38.3% |
| FC Köln clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Schalke 04 clean sheet | 15.3% |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Union Berlin
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
2.8–1.2
xG
76%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.8–2.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
1.3–2.6
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679121 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Köln are favourites. They win 49.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 27.1% for Schalke 04. Including the draw, FC Köln avoid defeat 72.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest FC Köln win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations. FC Köln keep a clean sheet 26.3% of the time and Schalke 04 15.3%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.90 for FC Köln and 1.35 for Schalke 04. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.8% and over 3.5 goals 40.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
