We simulated Paderborn vs Hamburger SV 100,000 times. Paderborn won 47,107 of them (47.1%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Hamburger SV won 28.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Paderborn win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations.
| Paderborn win | 47.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Hamburger SV win | 28.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.80 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 62.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.8% |
| Paderborn score first | 55.9% |
| Hamburger SV score first | 39.2% |
| Paderborn clean sheet | 26.1% |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 16.9% |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg
FC Union Berlin
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
2.8–1.2
xG
76%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Schalke 04
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.6–1.2
xG
73%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.8–2.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
1.3–2.6
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678946 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paderborn are favourites. They win 47.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 28.4% for Hamburger SV. Including the draw, Paderborn avoid defeat 71.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Paderborn win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations. Paderborn keep a clean sheet 26.1% of the time and Hamburger SV 16.9%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 1.80 for Paderborn and 1.36 for Hamburger SV. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.9% and over 3.5 goals 38.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
