We simulated FC Barcelona vs Getafe 100,000 times. FC Barcelona won 90,385 of them (90.4%), the draw came up 6.7% of the time and Getafe won 3%. The most likely score is 3-0 (12.1%), and both teams score in 40.8% of simulations.
| FC Barcelona win | 90.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.7% |
| Getafe win | 3% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 3.59 – 0.55 |
| Both teams to score | 40.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.8% |
| FC Barcelona score first | 84.6% |
| Getafe score first | 13.7% |
| FC Barcelona clean sheet | 57.7% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 3% |
Málaga
Espanyol
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
1.3–1.4
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés
Atlético de Madrid
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
Villarreal
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Elche
Celta de Vigo
1.2–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Deportivo A Coruña
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Osasuna
2.0–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Valencia
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654560 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Barcelona are favourites. They win 90.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.7% for the draw and 3% for Getafe. Including the draw, FC Barcelona avoid defeat 97% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (10.7%) and 2-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.8% of simulations. FC Barcelona keep a clean sheet 57.7% of the time and Getafe 3%.
The simulations average 4.14 goals: 3.59 for FC Barcelona and 0.55 for Getafe. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.5% and over 3.5 goals 58.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
