We simulated Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña 100,000 times. Real Sociedad won 48,865 of them (48.9%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Deportivo A Coruña won 24.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations.
| Real Sociedad win | 48.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% |
| Deportivo A Coruña win | 24.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.61 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.2% |
| Real Sociedad score first | 58.8% |
| Deportivo A Coruña score first | 33.2% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 34.7% |
| Deportivo A Coruña clean sheet | 20.6% |
Málaga
Espanyol
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
1.3–1.4
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés
Atlético de Madrid
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Getafe
3.6–0.6
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
Villarreal
2.7–1.1
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Elche
Celta de Vigo
1.2–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Osasuna
2.0–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Valencia
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654705 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Sociedad are favourites. They win 48.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 24.7% for Deportivo A Coruña. Including the draw, Real Sociedad avoid defeat 75.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet 34.7% of the time and Deportivo A Coruña 20.6%.
The simulations average 2.68 goals: 1.61 for Real Sociedad and 1.07 for Deportivo A Coruña. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.8% and over 3.5 goals 28.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betano), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
