We simulated FC Utrecht vs Willem II 100,000 times. FC Utrecht won 57,641 of them (57.6%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and Willem II won 20.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest FC Utrecht win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
| FC Utrecht win | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| Willem II win | 20.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.14 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| FC Utrecht score first | 59% |
| Willem II score first | 36.8% |
| FC Utrecht clean sheet | 30.3% |
| Willem II clean sheet | 12.3% |
PSV
SC Heerenveen
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
2.1–1.4
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard
FC Twente
1.0–2.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2.7–1.1
xG
73%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
SC Cambuur
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Telstar
ADO Den Haag
1.7–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Groningen
1.6–1.6
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609658 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Utrecht are favourites. They win 57.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 20.5% for Willem II. Including the draw, FC Utrecht avoid defeat 79.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. FC Utrecht keep a clean sheet 30.3% of the time and Willem II 12.3%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 2.14 for FC Utrecht and 1.21 for Willem II. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.6% and over 3.5 goals 43%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
