We simulated Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente 100,000 times. FC Twente won 69,898 of them (69.9%), the draw came up 17.6% of the time and Fortuna Sittard won 12.5%. The most likely score is 0-2 (9.1%), and both teams score in 59% of simulations.
| Fortuna Sittard win | 12.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.6% |
| FC Twente win | 69.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.02 – 2.58 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.2% |
| Fortuna Sittard score first | 33.7% |
| FC Twente score first | 62.5% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 8.1% |
| FC Twente clean sheet | 36.5% |
PSV
SC Heerenveen
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
2.1–1.4
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2.7–1.1
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
Willem II
2.1–1.2
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
SC Cambuur
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Telstar
ADO Den Haag
1.7–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Groningen
1.6–1.6
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609676 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Twente are favourites. They win 69.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.6% for the draw and 12.5% for Fortuna Sittard. Including the draw, FC Twente avoid defeat 87.5% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 1-1 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet 8.1% of the time and FC Twente 36.5%.
The simulations average 3.60 goals: 1.02 for Fortuna Sittard and 2.58 for FC Twente. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.1% and over 3.5 goals 48.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here WilliamHill), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
