We simulated Telstar vs ADO Den Haag 100,000 times. Telstar won 41,952 of them (42%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and ADO Den Haag won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Telstar win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 63.1% of simulations.
| Telstar win | 42% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| ADO Den Haag win | 31.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 63.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.2% |
| Telstar score first | 51.3% |
| ADO Den Haag score first | 42.7% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 24% |
| ADO Den Haag clean sheet | 19% |
PSV
SC Heerenveen
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
2.1–1.4
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard
FC Twente
1.0–2.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2.7–1.1
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
Willem II
2.1–1.2
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
SC Cambuur
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Groningen
1.6–1.6
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609673 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Telstar are favourites. They win 42% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 31.7% for ADO Den Haag. Including the draw, Telstar avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Telstar win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.1% of simulations. Telstar keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and ADO Den Haag 19%.
The simulations average 3.13 goals: 1.69 for Telstar and 1.45 for ADO Den Haag. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.3% and over 3.5 goals 38.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
