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Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

We simulated Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam 100,000 times. Go Ahead Eagles won 51,776 of them (51.8%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Sparta Rotterdam won 23.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 67.6% of simulations.

Go Ahead Eagles badge
Go Ahead Eagles De Adelaarshorst
Saturday 10 October
Sparta Rotterdam badge
Sparta Rotterdam Away
51.8% 51,776 wins
24.4% Draw
23.8% 23,785 wins
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.41
Likeliest score
1-1 10.5% Top GAE win: 2-1 9.1%
Both score
67.6%
Over 2.5
68%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jeroen Manschot De Adelaarshorst, Deventer

Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 10 October, 15:30

Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam simulation probabilities
Go Ahead Eagles win51.8%
Draw24.4%
Sparta Rotterdam win23.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.5%)
Expected goals2.12 – 1.41
Both teams to score67.6%
Over 1.5 goals88.1%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46.7%
Go Ahead Eagles score first54.5%
Sparta Rotterdam score first40.6%
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet24.9%
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet12.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609674
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction FAQs

Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Go Ahead Eagles are favourites. They win 51.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 23.8% for Sparta Rotterdam. Including the draw, Go Ahead Eagles avoid defeat 76.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Both teams score in 67.6% of simulations. Go Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet 24.9% of the time and Sparta Rotterdam 12.5%.

How many goals will there be in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The simulations average 3.52 goals: 2.12 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.41 for Sparta Rotterdam. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68% and over 3.5 goals 46.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.