We simulated PSV vs SC Heerenveen 100,000 times. PSV won 72,255 of them (72.3%), the draw came up 14% of the time and SC Heerenveen won 13.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (7.8%), and both teams score in 67.9% of simulations.
| PSV win | 72.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14% |
| SC Heerenveen win | 13.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (7.8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.02 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 67.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 62% |
| PSV score first | 67.9% |
| SC Heerenveen score first | 31% |
| PSV clean sheet | 28.1% |
| SC Heerenveen clean sheet | 5.2% |
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
2.1–1.4
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
2.0–1.5
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard
FC Twente
1.0–2.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2.7–1.1
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
Willem II
2.1–1.2
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
SC Cambuur
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Telstar
ADO Den Haag
1.7–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
FC Groningen
1.6–1.6
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609675 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
PSV are favourites. They win 72.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14% for the draw and 13.8% for SC Heerenveen. Including the draw, PSV avoid defeat 86.2% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 7.8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.9% of simulations. PSV keep a clean sheet 28.1% of the time and SC Heerenveen 5.2%.
The simulations average 4.31 goals: 3.02 for PSV and 1.28 for SC Heerenveen. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 79.8% and over 3.5 goals 62%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
