We simulated JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki 100,000 times. JEF United won 39,383 of them (39.4%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and V-Varen Nagasaki won 33.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest JEF United win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations.
| JEF United win | 39.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| V-Varen Nagasaki win | 33.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% |
| JEF United score first | 50.6% |
| V-Varen Nagasaki score first | 42% |
| JEF United clean sheet | 27.5% |
| V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet | 24% |
Kashima Antlers
Gamba Osaka
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Urawa Reds
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia
1.1–1.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.8–2.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605777 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
JEF United are favourites. They win 39.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 33.2% for V-Varen Nagasaki. Including the draw, JEF United avoid defeat 66.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest JEF United win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations. JEF United keep a clean sheet 27.5% of the time and V-Varen Nagasaki 24%.
The simulations average 2.75 goals: 1.44 for JEF United and 1.31 for V-Varen Nagasaki. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.7% and over 3.5 goals 29.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
