We simulated Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse 100,000 times. Mito Hollyhock won 38,720 of them (38.7%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Shimizu S-Pulse won 33.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Mito Hollyhock win is 1-0 (8.9%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
| Mito Hollyhock win | 38.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse win | 33.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.38 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.5% |
| Mito Hollyhock score first | 49.8% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse score first | 41.7% |
| Mito Hollyhock clean sheet | 28.6% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet | 25.5% |
Kashima Antlers
Gamba Osaka
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Urawa Reds
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia
1.1–1.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
JEF United
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.8–2.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605776 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mito Hollyhock are favourites. They win 38.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 33.4% for Shimizu S-Pulse. Including the draw, Mito Hollyhock avoid defeat 66.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Mito Hollyhock win is 1-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Mito Hollyhock keep a clean sheet 28.6% of the time and Shimizu S-Pulse 25.5%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.38 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.27 for Shimizu S-Pulse. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.2% and over 3.5 goals 27.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
