We simulated Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100,000 times. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 63,222 of them (63.2%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Tokyo Verdy won 14%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.5%), and both teams score in 50% of simulations.
| Tokyo Verdy win | 14% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 63.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.84 – 2.02 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Tokyo Verdy score first | 29% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima score first | 63.6% |
| Tokyo Verdy clean sheet | 13.8% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet | 43.3% |
Kashima Antlers
Gamba Osaka
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Urawa Reds
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia
1.1–1.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
JEF United
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605894 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. They win 63.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 14% for Tokyo Verdy. Including the draw, Sanfrecce Hiroshima avoid defeat 86% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.8%) and 0-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Tokyo Verdy keep a clean sheet 13.8% of the time and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.3%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 0.84 for Tokyo Verdy and 2.02 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
