We simulated Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 75,148 of them (75.2%), the draw came up 14.4% of the time and Le Havre won 10.5%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.1%), and both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
| Le Havre win | 10.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.4% |
| Paris Saint Germain win | 75.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.89 – 2.68 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.6% |
| Le Havre score first | 23.5% |
| Paris Saint Germain score first | 74% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 7.2% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 41.4% |
Nice
Rennes
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Lens
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Le Mans
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Auxerre
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Paris
Monaco
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Brest
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660783 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 75.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.4% for the draw and 10.5% for Le Havre. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 89.5% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Le Havre keep a clean sheet 7.2% of the time and Paris Saint Germain 41.4%.
The simulations average 3.57 goals: 0.89 for Le Havre and 2.68 for Paris Saint Germain. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.7% and over 3.5 goals 47.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
