We simulated Strasbourg vs Auxerre 100,000 times. Strasbourg won 49,384 of them (49.4%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and Auxerre won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Strasbourg win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations.
| Strasbourg win | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Auxerre win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.87 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 62.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Strasbourg score first | 58.6% |
| Auxerre score first | 36.6% |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 26.5% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 15.8% |
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Nice
Rennes
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Lens
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Le Mans
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Paris
Monaco
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Brest
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660772 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Strasbourg are favourites. They win 49.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 27.3% for Auxerre. Including the draw, Strasbourg avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Strasbourg win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations. Strasbourg keep a clean sheet 26.5% of the time and Auxerre 15.8%.
The simulations average 3.22 goals: 1.87 for Strasbourg and 1.34 for Auxerre. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62% and over 3.5 goals 40%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
